Forecasting and future climate projections

This theme synthesises the results from the first three themes in order to assess and ultimately improve the ability of climate models to forecast climate change. Thus must take into account the complexity of the models, the huge number of model parameters, the sparsity of the available climate data, and the different uncertainties associated with these data. Topics in this area include quantification of uncertainty in forecasts, the study of different approaches for the assessment and ranking of model performance, data sets and methodologies for benchmarking, the effective communication of uncertainty in forecasts to different target audiences, and the development of testbeds.

Working Group Leaders

The following members have kindly accepted to be the leaders for this working group:

Working Group Funding

The PEN forecasting working group has a budget to fund travel, conference sessions, meetings and similar activities for working group members. The working group leaders welcome proposals for this funding which benefit the working group. Please join the working group mailing list to become a member and join the discussion.

Conference working group report

Click here to download the working group report from the 2015 PEN Conference at Crewe Hall.

Membership & Mailing List

If you would like to become a member of the PEN via the Forecasting working group please use this link or send an email to with the Subject line "Forecasting working group JISCMail request". This will also subscribe you to the Jiscmail mailing list.