Quantification of uncertainty in complex models

The uncertainties in the output of the (complex and high-dimensional) models in use must be well-understood. This theme includes topics like model intercomparison, (Bayesian) model averaging, statistical emulation, the study of more tractable models which still capture essential features of the problem, measures for uncertainty (e.g. entropy), and error propagation through models.

PEN - ESS Workshop

A PEN - ESS workshop: “Assessing Paleoclimate Uncertainty”, is being run jointly by the two Past Earth Network (PEN) working groups; Models and Data-Model Comparisons. The aim is to develop collaborative projects between the different communities. The programme will be a combination of lectures and discussion sessions, which we hope will generate both light and perhaps new ideas for collaboration. Visit the Workshop homepage here.

Working Group Leaders

The following members have kindly accepted to be the leaders for this working group:

Working Group Funding

The PEN Models working group has a budget to fund travel, conference sessions, meetings and similar activities for working group members. The working group leaders welcome proposals for this funding which benefit the working group. Please join the working group mailing list to become a member and join the discussion.

Conference working group report

Click here to download the working group report from the 2015 PEN Conference at Crewe Hall or here to download the report slides.

Membership & Mailing List

If you would like to become a member of the PEN via the Models working group please use this link or send an email to staey@leeds.ac.uk with the Subject line "Models working group JISCMail request". This will also subscribe you to the Jiscmail mailing list.